Ligue 1 and Bundesliga Thoughts 4 October

Unusually, both these bets are with Ladbrokes (odds noted are with boost). If you intend to bet with Smarkets I’d advocate waiting a day or two for the market to warm up.

 

Ligue 1

I’ve backed Lorient away to beat Brest at 3.1. Lorient’s a top side with 7 wins from 9 matches to date, and Brest are in the relegation zone with a -10 goal difference and 5/9 losses.

Troyes is the second tip, to win away at Nantes at 5.25. Troyes are very much a middling team while Nantes are hovering above the relegation zone thanks to a singe point of goal difference. So far this season Troyes have won 2 of 5 away matches (including over Monaco), while Nantes have won 1 of 4 home matches (a pair of draws as well, to be fair). In short, I think this could go either way but the odds are excessive on Troyes.

 

Bundesliga

No Bundesliga bets this time around.

 

I’ll cover the other three leagues in the next few days, probably.

 

Morris Dancer

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