Football 29 September 2023

 

EPL

I’ve backed Luton to win at home versus Burnley at 3. They’re both equally bad, and home advantage makes this value, I think. Both teams have lost all but a single draw, though Luton have scored in both their home matches to date and the low overall scoring record of both teams may make that a useful habit. Could go either way, but the odds make it worthwhile, I think.


Ligue 1

Backed Le Havre to win at home versus Lille at 4.1. Both sides are very closely matched, Le Havre have won two of three home games so far, Lille have a loss and two draws on the road to date. Just feel the odds are too long.


Serie A

I considered this for a while, but have backed Lecce to win at home versus Napoli at 5. The defending champions aren’t out of it but have had a less than ideal start to their title defence. Both sides are on 11 points, and Lecce have won all their home games. Neither side has been especially tested excepting the 1-0 away loss by Lecce at Juventus. The odds just feel excessive for a home win.


Nothing from La Liga caught my eye.


Morris Dancer

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